Crawley Town
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium

Crawley
1 - 2
Arsenal U21s

Watters (37')
Dallison (12'), Davies (62'), Sesay (70')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McEneff (15'), Azeez (55')
Alebiousu (30'), Okonkwo (90+4'), McEneff (90+6')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Crawley Town and Arsenal Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 61.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 18.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 1-0 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for an Arsenal Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawArsenal Under-21s
61.83%20.13%18.03%
Both teams to score 57.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.13%37.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.88%60.12%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.21%11.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.01%36.99%
Arsenal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.62%34.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.92%71.08%
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 61.83%
    Arsenal Under-21s 18.04%
    Draw 20.13%
Crawley TownDrawArsenal Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.89%
2-0 @ 9.26%
1-0 @ 8.66%
3-1 @ 7.05%
3-0 @ 6.6%
4-1 @ 3.77%
3-2 @ 3.76%
4-0 @ 3.53%
4-2 @ 2.01%
5-1 @ 1.61%
5-0 @ 1.51%
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 61.83%
1-1 @ 9.25%
2-2 @ 5.28%
0-0 @ 4.05%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 20.13%
1-2 @ 4.94%
0-1 @ 4.33%
0-2 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 1.88%
1-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 18.04%