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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.73%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (11.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 37.57% | 28.79% | 33.64% |
| Both teams to score 45.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.8% | 61.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.85% | 81.15% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.63% | 31.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.26% | 67.74% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.06% | 33.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.38% | 70.62% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.34% 2-1 @ 7.73% 2-0 @ 7.16% 3-1 @ 2.99% 3-0 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.97% Total : 37.57% | 1-1 @ 13.33% 0-0 @ 10.64% 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.78% | 0-1 @ 11.5% 1-2 @ 7.21% 0-2 @ 6.22% 1-3 @ 2.6% 0-3 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.37% Total : 33.63% |