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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 52.43%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 21.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.37%) and 1-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 1-0 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 21.91% | 25.66% | 52.43% |
| Both teams to score 46.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.06% | 55.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.96% | 77.04% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.22% | 40.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.64% | 77.35% |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.61% | 21.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.63% | 54.37% |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 7.82% 2-1 @ 5.41% 2-0 @ 3.51% 3-1 @ 1.62% 3-2 @ 1.25% 3-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.25% Total : 21.91% | 1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 8.72% 2-2 @ 4.17% Other @ 0.7% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 13.44% 0-2 @ 10.37% 1-2 @ 9.31% 0-3 @ 5.33% 1-3 @ 4.79% 2-3 @ 2.15% 0-4 @ 2.06% 1-4 @ 1.85% Other @ 3.13% Total : 52.42% |