League Two Gameweek 2
Aug 14, 2021 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Kaine Kesler 28' yellowcard
  • Romoney Crichlow 30' goal
  • Louis Reed 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Kaine Kesler 90'+7' redcard
  • goal Joe Riley 13'
  • yellowcard Brennan Dickenson 29'
  • goal Tristan Abrahams 43'
  • yellowcard Magnus Norman 63'

Swindon Town vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Aug 7, 2021 3.00pm
Scunthorpe 1 - 3 Swindon
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Harry McKirdy

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Aug 7, 2021 3.00pm
Carlisle 0 - 0 Colchester
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Omari Patrick

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 54.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 21.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.3%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 1-0 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result

Swindon Town 21.04%
Draw 24.3%
Carlisle United 54.66%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.31%

Goals

Over 2.5 48.28%
Under 2.5 51.71%
Over 3.5 26.51%
Under 3.5 73.49%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 60.75%
Under 0.5 39.25%
Over 1.5 24.04%
Under 1.5 75.96%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 81.17%
Under 0.5 18.83%
Over 1.5 49.73%
Under 1.5 50.27%

Score analysis

Swindon Town 21.04%
Draw 24.3%
Carlisle United 54.65%
Swindon Town
1-0 @ 6.91%
2-1 @ 5.4%
2-0 @ 3.23%
3-1 @ 1.68%
3-2 @ 1.41%
3-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 21.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.54%
0-0 @ 7.39%
2-2 @ 4.51%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 24.3%
Carlisle United
0-1 @ 12.33%
0-2 @ 10.3%
1-2 @ 9.64%
0-3 @ 5.74%
1-3 @ 5.36%
2-3 @ 2.51%
0-4 @ 2.39%
1-4 @ 2.24%
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 54.65%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 32
Feb 8, 2020 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Brunton Park
  • Aaron Hayden 62' goal
  • goal Rarmani Edmonds-Green 11'
League Two Gameweek 2
Aug 10, 2019 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Michael Doughty 34' yellowcard
  • Jerry Yates 56' goal
  • Jordan Lyden 57' yellowcard
  • Ezekiel Fryers 70' goal
  • Kaiyne Woolery 90' goal
  • goal Olufela Olomola 52'
  • yellowcard Nathaniel Knight-Percival 57'
  • redcard Canice Carroll 83'
  • goal Mo Sagaf 92'
League Two Gameweek 36
Mar 9, 2019 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Brunton Park (Carlisle, Cumbria)
  • Hallam Hope 13' goal
  • Gary Liddle 38' yellowcard
  • Callum O'Hare 79' goal
  • goal Kyle Bennett 39'
  • yellowcard Canice Carroll 60'
  • yellowcard Keshi Anderson 91'
League Two Gameweek 18
Nov 17, 2018 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT The Energy Check County Ground (Swindon, Wiltshire)
  • goal Ashley Nadesan 41'
  • goal Regan Slater 46'
  • goal Jamie Devitt 54'
  • goal Regan Slater 64'
League Two
Apr 7, 2018 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • James Dunne 17' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kris Twardek 50'
  • yellowcard Jamie Devitt 88'
  • yellowcard Ashley Nadesan 90'
League Two
Aug 5, 2017 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Michael Jones 41' yellowcard
  • Luke Joyce 56' goal
  • goal Luke Norris 31'
  • goal Paul Mullin 47'
  • yellowcard Paul Mullin 66'
  • yellowcard Ellis Iandolo 78'
  • yellowcard Harry Smith 90'