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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 38.16% | 26.47% | 35.37% |
| Both teams to score 52.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.78% | 52.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.07% | 73.93% |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.34% | 26.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.1% | 61.9% |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.71% | 28.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.99% | 64.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.97% 2-1 @ 8.32% 2-0 @ 6.59% 3-1 @ 3.67% 3-0 @ 2.9% 3-2 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.22% Total : 38.16% | 1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 7.54% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 9.52% 1-2 @ 7.95% 0-2 @ 6.01% 1-3 @ 3.35% 0-3 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.37% |