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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 45.66% | 25.24% | 29.09% |
| Both teams to score 54.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.03% | 48.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.94% | 71.06% |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.54% | 21.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.52% | 54.48% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.17% | 30.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.89% | 67.1% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.18% 2-1 @ 9.22% 2-0 @ 7.84% 3-1 @ 4.73% 3-0 @ 4.02% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.46% Total : 45.66% | 1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 6.61% 2-2 @ 5.43% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 7.78% 1-2 @ 7.05% 0-2 @ 4.58% 1-3 @ 2.77% 2-3 @ 2.13% 0-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.99% Total : 29.09% |