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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 44.91%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 27.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 44.91% | 27.7% | 27.39% |
| Both teams to score 45.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.73% | 59.27% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.32% | 79.68% |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.69% | 26.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.55% | 61.45% |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.37% | 37.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.6% | 74.4% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 1-0 @ 13.21% 2-0 @ 8.82% 2-1 @ 8.63% 3-0 @ 3.93% 3-1 @ 3.84% 3-2 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.31% 4-1 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.01% Total : 44.9% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 9.9% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.7% | 0-1 @ 9.68% 1-2 @ 6.32% 0-2 @ 4.73% 1-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.69% Total : 27.39% |