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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 46.75%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 26.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 1-0 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 26.55% | 26.7% | 46.75% |
| Both teams to score 48.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.83% | 56.17% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.77% | 77.23% |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.37% | 36.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.58% | 73.42% |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.98% | 24.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.72% | 58.28% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.84% 2-1 @ 6.33% 2-0 @ 4.44% 3-1 @ 2.12% 3-2 @ 1.51% 3-0 @ 1.49% Other @ 1.83% Total : 26.55% | 1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 8.8% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.7% | 0-1 @ 12.54% 1-2 @ 8.99% 0-2 @ 8.95% 1-3 @ 4.27% 0-3 @ 4.26% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.52% 0-4 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.55% Total : 46.74% |