League Two

League Two | Gameweek 40

Apr 6, 2021 at 6.30pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
2 - 0
Scunthorpe

Mellish (60', 62')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Loft (45+1')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Scunthorpe United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 27.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Scunthorpe United
45.46%	27.18%	27.37%

Both teams to score 47.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.57%

57.44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.76%

78.24%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.8%

25.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.06%

59.94%

Scunthorpe United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.36%

36.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.58%

73.43%

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 45.45%

Scunthorpe United 27.37%

Draw 27.17%

Carlisle United	Draw	Scunthorpe United
1-0 @ 12.72% 2-1 @ 8.81% 2-0 @ 8.77% 3-1 @ 4.05% 3-0 @ 4.03% 3-2 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.27% Total : 45.45%	1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 9.23% 2-2 @ 4.42% Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.17%	0-1 @ 9.27% 1-2 @ 6.42% 0-2 @ 4.66% 1-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 1.56% 2-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 1.84% Total : 27.37%