League Two Gameweek 40
Apr 6, 2021 6.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Brunton Park
  • Jon Mellish 60' goal
  • Jon Mellish 62' goal
  • yellowcard Ryan Loft 45'+1'

Carlisle United vs Scunthorpe United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 3, 2021 1.00pm
Southend 0 - 2 Carlisle
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Jon Mellish

Scunthorpe United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 2, 2021 1.00pm
Scunthorpe 0 - 0 Crawley
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Abo Eisa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 27.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result

Carlisle United 45.46%
Draw 27.18%
Scunthorpe United 27.37%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.39%

Goals

Over 2.5 42.57%
Under 2.5 57.44%
Over 3.5 21.76%
Under 3.5 78.24%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 74.8%
Under 0.5 25.2%
Over 1.5 40.06%
Under 1.5 59.94%

Scunthorpe United Goals

Over 0.5 63.36%
Under 0.5 36.64%
Over 1.5 26.58%
Under 1.5 73.43%

Score analysis

Carlisle United 45.45%
Draw 27.17%
Scunthorpe United 27.37%
Carlisle United
1-0 @ 12.72%
2-1 @ 8.81%
2-0 @ 8.77%
3-1 @ 4.05%
3-0 @ 4.03%
3-2 @ 2.03%
4-1 @ 1.39%
4-0 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 45.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 9.23%
2-2 @ 4.42%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.17%
Scunthorpe United
0-1 @ 9.27%
1-2 @ 6.42%
0-2 @ 4.66%
1-3 @ 2.15%
0-3 @ 1.56%
2-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 27.37%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 3
Sep 26, 2020 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Glanford Park
  • Jordan Hallam 35' goal
  • Lewis Spence 74' yellowcard
  • Alfie Beestin 84' yellowcard
League Two Gameweek 44
Apr 13, 2020 3.00pm
Brunton Park
League Two Gameweek 6
Aug 31, 2019 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jordan Clarke 27' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Canice Carroll 35'
  • goal Ryan Loft 60'
  • yellowcard Nathaniel Knight-Percival 65'
  • yellowcard Harry McKirdy 74'
  • yellowcard Jack Iredale 84'
  • yellowcard Ryan Loft 89'
  • yellowcard Christie Elliott 93'
League One
Feb 12, 2013 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Akpo Sodje 17' goal
  • Paul Reid 22' goal
  • Josh Walker 65' yellowcard
  • Callum Kennedy 86' yellowcard
  • Akpo Sodje 90' goal
  • yellowcard Sean O'Hanlon 11'
  • goal James Berrett 45'
  • yellowcard Paul Thirlwell 67'
  • yellowcard James Berrett 69'
  • yellowcard Frank Simek 81'
League One
Jan 26, 2013 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • David Symington 76' goal
  • goal Karl Hawley 52'
  • yellowcard Tom Newey 87'
League One
Apr 9, 2012 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT