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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Leyton Orient |
| 43.53% | 27.08% | 29.39% |
| Both teams to score 48.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.87% | 56.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.8% | 77.2% |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.42% | 25.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.54% | 60.46% |
| Leyton Orient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.66% | 34.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.96% | 71.04% |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Leyton Orient |
| 1-0 @ 11.97% 2-1 @ 8.73% 2-0 @ 8.16% 3-1 @ 3.97% 3-0 @ 3.71% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.26% Total : 43.53% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.78% 2-2 @ 4.66% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.08% | 0-1 @ 9.39% 1-2 @ 6.84% 0-2 @ 5.02% 1-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.25% Total : 29.39% |