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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 48.67%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Exeter City |
| 26% | 25.32% | 48.67% |
| Both teams to score 51.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.75% | 51.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.92% | 73.08% |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.58% | 34.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.87% | 71.13% |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.93% | 21.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.12% | 53.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Exeter City |
| 1-0 @ 7.73% 2-1 @ 6.42% 2-0 @ 4.13% 3-1 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 1.78% 3-0 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.19% Total : 26% | 1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 7.25% 2-2 @ 5% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 11.29% 1-2 @ 9.38% 0-2 @ 8.79% 1-3 @ 4.87% 0-3 @ 4.57% 2-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 1.9% 0-4 @ 1.78% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.49% Total : 48.67% |