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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Exeter City |
| 32.13% | 25.93% | 41.94% |
| Both teams to score 53.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.38% | 50.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.47% | 72.53% |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.44% | 29.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.41% | 65.59% |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.07% | 23.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.85% | 58.15% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Exeter City |
| 1-0 @ 8.62% 2-1 @ 7.51% 2-0 @ 5.25% 3-1 @ 3.05% 3-2 @ 2.18% 3-0 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.45% Total : 32.13% | 1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 7.07% 2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 10.11% 1-2 @ 8.82% 0-2 @ 7.23% 1-3 @ 4.2% 0-3 @ 3.45% 2-3 @ 2.56% 1-4 @ 1.5% 0-4 @ 1.23% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.91% Total : 41.93% |