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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 31.94% | 25.93% | 42.12% |
| Both teams to score 53.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.32% | 50.67% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.42% | 72.58% |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.29% | 29.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.23% | 65.77% |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.14% | 23.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.95% | 58.04% |
| Score Analysis |
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.6% 2-1 @ 7.48% 2-0 @ 5.22% 3-1 @ 3.03% 3-2 @ 2.17% 3-0 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.41% Total : 31.94% | 1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 7.09% 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 10.15% 1-2 @ 8.83% 0-2 @ 7.28% 1-3 @ 4.22% 0-3 @ 3.48% 2-3 @ 2.56% 1-4 @ 1.51% 0-4 @ 1.25% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.92% Total : 42.12% |