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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 36.79%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 36.79% | 27.98% | 35.23% |
| Both teams to score 47.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.82% | 58.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.17% | 78.83% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.66% | 30.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.48% | 66.52% |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.68% | 31.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.32% | 67.68% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 1-0 @ 11.33% 2-1 @ 7.85% 2-0 @ 6.76% 3-1 @ 3.12% 3-0 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 1.81% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.3% Total : 36.78% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 9.5% 2-2 @ 4.56% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.97% | 0-1 @ 11.03% 1-2 @ 7.64% 0-2 @ 6.4% 1-3 @ 2.96% 0-3 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.97% Total : 35.23% |