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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 57.06%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 18.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Stevenage |
| 57.06% | 24.37% | 18.58% |
| Both teams to score 45.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.09% | 54.91% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.81% | 76.19% |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.88% | 19.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.24% | 50.76% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.19% | 43.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.03% | 79.97% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 13.86% 2-0 @ 11.46% 2-1 @ 9.46% 3-0 @ 6.32% 3-1 @ 5.22% 4-0 @ 2.61% 4-1 @ 2.16% 3-2 @ 2.15% Other @ 3.81% Total : 57.06% | 1-1 @ 11.43% 0-0 @ 8.38% 2-2 @ 3.9% Other @ 0.65% Total : 24.36% | 0-1 @ 6.91% 1-2 @ 4.72% 0-2 @ 2.85% 1-3 @ 1.3% 2-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.72% Total : 18.58% |