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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 36.95%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Port Vale |
| 36.95% | 27.92% | 35.13% |
| Both teams to score 48.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.04% | 57.95% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.34% | 78.65% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.87% | 30.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.73% | 66.27% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.73% | 31.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.38% | 67.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Port Vale |
| 1-0 @ 11.3% 2-1 @ 7.88% 2-0 @ 6.78% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-0 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 1.83% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.35% Total : 36.95% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.42% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.91% | 0-1 @ 10.95% 1-2 @ 7.64% 0-2 @ 6.37% 1-3 @ 2.96% 0-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.98% Total : 35.13% |