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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Southend United win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Southend United |
| 40.71% | 27.58% | 31.71% |
| Both teams to score 48.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.77% | 57.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.92% | 78.08% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.41% | 27.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.88% | 63.12% |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.78% | 33.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.18% | 69.82% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Southend United |
| 1-0 @ 11.8% 2-1 @ 8.38% 2-0 @ 7.6% 3-1 @ 3.6% 3-0 @ 3.26% 3-2 @ 1.98% 4-1 @ 1.16% 4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.89% Total : 40.71% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 9.16% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.58% | 0-1 @ 10.09% 1-2 @ 7.17% 0-2 @ 5.57% 1-3 @ 2.63% 0-3 @ 2.05% 2-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.5% Total : 31.7% |