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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.39%) and 1-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cheltenham Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 28.97% | 28.22% | 42.81% |
| Both teams to score 45.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.65% | 60.35% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.5% | 80.5% |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.07% | 36.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.28% | 73.72% |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.08% | 27.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.46% | 63.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.27% 2-1 @ 6.53% 2-0 @ 5.12% 3-1 @ 2.17% 3-0 @ 1.7% 3-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 1.81% Total : 28.97% | 1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 10.31% 2-2 @ 4.16% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.21% | 0-1 @ 13.15% 0-2 @ 8.39% 1-2 @ 8.36% 0-3 @ 3.57% 1-3 @ 3.56% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-4 @ 1.14% 1-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.74% Total : 42.81% |