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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 34.22% | 26.84% | 38.94% |
| Both teams to score 51.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.13% | 53.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.67% | 75.32% |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.19% | 29.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.11% | 65.88% |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.01% | 26.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.66% | 62.33% |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.74% 2-1 @ 7.72% 2-0 @ 5.89% 3-1 @ 3.11% 3-0 @ 2.38% 3-2 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.4% Total : 34.22% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8.04% 2-2 @ 5.06% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 10.53% 1-2 @ 8.35% 0-2 @ 6.9% 1-3 @ 3.65% 0-3 @ 3.01% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.1% Total : 38.93% |