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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 32.31% | 26.48% | 41.21% |
| Both teams to score 51.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.2% | 52.8% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.57% | 74.42% |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.47% | 30.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.24% | 66.75% |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.73% | 25.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.97% | 60.02% |
| Score Analysis |
| Barrow | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.15% 2-1 @ 7.47% 2-0 @ 5.43% 3-1 @ 2.95% 3-0 @ 2.15% 3-2 @ 2.03% Other @ 3.12% Total : 32.31% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 7.71% 2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 10.61% 1-2 @ 8.66% 0-2 @ 7.3% 1-3 @ 3.97% 0-3 @ 3.35% 2-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 1.37% 0-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.45% Total : 41.21% |