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Championship header 2

League Two

Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 28
Feb 6, 2021 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Harrogate Town

Crawley
1 - 3
Harrogate

Dallison (54')
Nichols (32')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Martin (13'), March (30' pen.), Power (45+3')
McPake (42')
Smith (67')

The Match

Match Report

Former reality TV star Mark Wright made his first start for Crawley but was replaced at half-time of a 3-1 defeat.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawHarrogate Town
41.92%25.82%32.26%
Both teams to score 54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.9%50.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.93%72.07%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.29%23.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.17%57.83%
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.78%29.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.83%65.16%
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 41.92%
    Harrogate Town 32.26%
    Draw 25.81%
Crawley TownDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 9.97%
2-1 @ 8.83%
2-0 @ 7.18%
3-1 @ 4.24%
3-0 @ 3.44%
3-2 @ 2.61%
4-1 @ 1.52%
4-0 @ 1.24%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 41.92%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 6.93%
2-2 @ 5.43%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 8.52%
1-2 @ 7.55%
0-2 @ 5.24%
1-3 @ 3.1%
2-3 @ 2.23%
0-3 @ 2.15%
1-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 32.26%