League Two Gameweek 21
Feb 16, 2021 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT CNG Stadium
  • Josh March 28' goal
  • Edward Francis 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard George Tanner 76'

Harrogate Town vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions
Last game
Feb 9, 2021 6.00pm
Harrogate 0 - 1 Cheltenham
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Jack Muldoon

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 2, 2021 6.00pm
Carlisle 1 - 2 Forest Green
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Jon Mellish

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 47.04%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 25.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.19%) and 1-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result

Harrogate Town 25.95%
Draw 27.01%
Carlisle United 47.04%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.82%

Goals

Over 2.5 42.35%
Under 2.5 57.65%
Over 3.5 21.59%
Under 3.5 78.41%

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5 62.05%
Under 0.5 37.95%
Over 1.5 25.28%
Under 1.5 74.72%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 75.47%
Under 0.5 24.53%
Over 1.5 40.99%
Under 1.5 59.01%

Score analysis

Harrogate Town 25.95%
Draw 27.01%
Carlisle United 47.03%
Harrogate Town
1-0 @ 9.02%
2-1 @ 6.14%
2-0 @ 4.37%
3-1 @ 1.98%
3-0 @ 1.41%
3-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 25.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.67%
0-0 @ 9.31%
2-2 @ 4.31%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.01%
Carlisle United
0-1 @ 13.08%
0-2 @ 9.19%
1-2 @ 8.91%
0-3 @ 4.31%
1-3 @ 4.17%
2-3 @ 2.02%
0-4 @ 1.51%
1-4 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 47.03%