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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 38.39% | 27.3% | 34.31% |
| Both teams to score 49.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.33% | 55.67% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.18% | 76.82% |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.84% | 28.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.16% | 63.84% |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.35% | 30.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.11% | 66.9% |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 1-0 @ 10.93% 2-1 @ 8.2% 2-0 @ 6.93% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 2.93% 3-2 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 1.1% 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.86% Total : 38.38% | 1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 8.63% 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.3% | 0-1 @ 10.2% 1-2 @ 7.65% 0-2 @ 6.03% 1-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 3.12% Total : 34.31% |