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Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 33
Mar 2, 2021 at 7pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Carlisle United

Colchester
2 - 1
Carlisle

Harriott (66' pen., 74')
Tchamadeu (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mellish (29')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Colchester United and Carlisle United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 45.08%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawCarlisle United
28.26%26.66%45.08%
Both teams to score 49.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.93%55.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.67%76.34%
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.36%34.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.63%71.38%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.66%24.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.27%58.73%
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 28.26%
    Carlisle United 45.08%
    Draw 26.66%
Colchester UnitedDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 8.94%
2-1 @ 6.69%
2-0 @ 4.74%
3-1 @ 2.37%
3-0 @ 1.67%
3-2 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 28.26%
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 8.43%
2-2 @ 4.73%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.66%
0-1 @ 11.91%
1-2 @ 8.92%
0-2 @ 8.42%
1-3 @ 4.2%
0-3 @ 3.97%
2-3 @ 2.23%
1-4 @ 1.49%
0-4 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 45.08%