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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 45.08%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 28.26% | 26.66% | 45.08% |
| Both teams to score 49.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.93% | 55.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.67% | 76.34% |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.36% | 34.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.63% | 71.38% |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.66% | 24.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.27% | 58.73% |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 1-0 @ 8.94% 2-1 @ 6.69% 2-0 @ 4.74% 3-1 @ 2.37% 3-0 @ 1.67% 3-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.18% Total : 28.26% | 1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 8.43% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.66% | 0-1 @ 11.91% 1-2 @ 8.92% 0-2 @ 8.42% 1-3 @ 4.2% 0-3 @ 3.97% 2-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 1.49% 0-4 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.54% Total : 45.08% |