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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crawley Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 42.4% | 27.17% | 30.42% |
| Both teams to score 49.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.91% | 56.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.84% | 77.16% |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.85% | 26.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.78% | 61.22% |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.46% | 33.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.82% | 70.18% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.76% 2-1 @ 8.62% 2-0 @ 7.89% 3-1 @ 3.86% 3-0 @ 3.53% 3-2 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.16% Total : 42.4% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.77% 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 9.58% 1-2 @ 7.02% 0-2 @ 5.23% 1-3 @ 2.56% 0-3 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.42% Total : 30.42% |