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Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 30
Feb 20, 2021 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Colchester United

Crawley
1 - 0
Colchester

Tilley (90+3')
Tunnicliffe (44')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sarpong-Wiredu (90+2'), Welch-Hayes (90+4')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Crawley Town and Colchester United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crawley Town in this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawColchester United
39.66%27.82%32.52%
Both teams to score 47.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.06%57.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.36%78.64%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.48%28.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.7%64.3%
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.99%33.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.4%69.6%
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 39.66%
    Colchester United 32.52%
    Draw 27.82%
Crawley TownDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 11.81%
2-1 @ 8.21%
2-0 @ 7.41%
3-1 @ 3.43%
3-0 @ 3.1%
3-2 @ 1.9%
4-1 @ 1.08%
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 39.66%
1-1 @ 13.09%
0-0 @ 9.41%
2-2 @ 4.55%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.82%
0-1 @ 10.43%
1-2 @ 7.26%
0-2 @ 5.78%
1-3 @ 2.68%
0-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 32.52%