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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 53.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 22.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 53.69% | 23.48% | 22.82% |
| Both teams to score 54.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.59% | 46.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.3% | 68.7% |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.79% | 17.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.5% | 47.5% |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.45% | 34.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.74% | 71.26% |
| Score Analysis |
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 9.78% 2-0 @ 9.2% 3-1 @ 5.74% 3-0 @ 5.4% 3-2 @ 3.05% 4-1 @ 2.52% 4-0 @ 2.38% 4-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.82% Total : 53.69% | 1-1 @ 11.12% 0-0 @ 5.95% 2-2 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.48% | 0-1 @ 6.32% 1-2 @ 5.91% 0-2 @ 3.36% 1-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.84% 0-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.11% Total : 22.82% |