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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 52.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 23.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Port Vale |
| 52.73% | 23.83% | 23.44% |
| Both teams to score 53.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.73% | 47.28% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.5% | 69.5% |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.12% | 17.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.33% | 48.67% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.53% | 34.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.82% | 71.18% |
| Score Analysis |
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Port Vale |
| 1-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 9.73% 2-0 @ 9.13% 3-1 @ 5.58% 3-0 @ 5.24% 3-2 @ 2.97% 4-1 @ 2.4% 4-0 @ 2.25% 4-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.54% Total : 52.73% | 1-1 @ 11.3% 0-0 @ 6.17% 2-2 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.83% | 0-1 @ 6.57% 1-2 @ 6.02% 0-2 @ 3.5% 1-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.84% 0-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.14% Total : 23.44% |