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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 46%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 27.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Port Vale |
| 46% | 26.18% | 27.81% |
| Both teams to score 50.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.5% | 53.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.98% | 75.01% |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.79% | 23.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.88% | 57.11% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.84% | 34.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.15% | 70.85% |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Port Vale |
| 1-0 @ 11.58% 2-1 @ 9.08% 2-0 @ 8.46% 3-1 @ 4.42% 3-0 @ 4.12% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.62% 4-0 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.85% Total : 46% | 1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 7.93% 2-2 @ 4.88% Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 8.52% 1-2 @ 6.68% 0-2 @ 4.57% 1-3 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 1.75% 0-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.27% Total : 27.81% |