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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Walsall | Draw | Port Vale |
| 40.9% | 27.63% | 31.46% |
| Both teams to score 48.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.5% | 57.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.71% | 78.29% |
| Walsall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.39% | 27.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.85% | 63.14% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.47% | 33.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.83% | 70.16% |
| Score Analysis |
| Walsall | Draw | Port Vale |
| 1-0 @ 11.91% 2-1 @ 8.38% 2-0 @ 7.67% 3-1 @ 3.59% 3-0 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1.16% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.88% Total : 40.89% | 1-1 @ 13.01% 0-0 @ 9.26% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.63% | 0-1 @ 10.11% 1-2 @ 7.11% 0-2 @ 5.53% 1-3 @ 2.59% 0-3 @ 2.01% 2-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.43% Total : 31.46% |