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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Port Vale |
| 41.18% | 27.25% | 31.57% |
| Both teams to score 49.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.98% | 56.02% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.89% | 77.11% |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.24% | 26.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.96% | 62.04% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.32% | 32.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.77% | 69.23% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Port Vale |
| 1-0 @ 11.52% 2-1 @ 8.5% 2-0 @ 7.6% 3-1 @ 3.73% 3-0 @ 3.34% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.06% Total : 41.17% | 1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 8.75% 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.24% | 0-1 @ 9.78% 1-2 @ 7.21% 0-2 @ 5.47% 1-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.61% Total : 31.57% |