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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 43.48%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 43.48% | 27.09% | 29.43% |
| Both teams to score 48.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.85% | 56.15% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.79% | 77.21% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.38% | 25.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.5% | 60.5% |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.68% | 34.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.98% | 71.02% |
| Score Analysis |
| Port Vale | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 1-0 @ 11.97% 2-1 @ 8.72% 2-0 @ 8.15% 3-1 @ 3.96% 3-0 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.25% Total : 43.48% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.79% 2-2 @ 4.66% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.08% | 0-1 @ 9.4% 1-2 @ 6.85% 0-2 @ 5.03% 1-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.26% Total : 29.43% |