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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Southend United win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Port Vale |
| 28.73% | 25.42% | 45.85% |
| Both teams to score 53.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.09% | 49.91% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.1% | 71.9% |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.42% | 31.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.02% | 67.98% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.24% | 21.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.05% | 54.95% |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | Port Vale |
| 1-0 @ 7.92% 2-1 @ 6.96% 2-0 @ 4.57% 3-1 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 2.04% 3-0 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.81% Total : 28.73% | 1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 6.87% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 10.48% 1-2 @ 9.21% 0-2 @ 7.99% 1-3 @ 4.68% 0-3 @ 4.06% 2-3 @ 2.7% 1-4 @ 1.79% 0-4 @ 1.55% 2-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.36% Total : 45.85% |