NIFL Premiership
Dec 13, 2025 at 3pm UK
 

3-3

Gibson (38'), Heatley (76'), Steele (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McGinty (3'), McAllister (58' pen., 90+2')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Dungannon Swifts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carrick 3-3 Dungannon
Saturday, December 13 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Next Game: Ballymena vs. Carrick
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 3-3 Dungannon
Saturday, December 13 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Next Game: Dungannon vs. Portadown
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 36.8%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 (10.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawDungannon Swifts
35.73%27.47%36.8%
Both teams to score 49.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.77%56.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.72%77.27%
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.97%30.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.85%66.14%
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.63%29.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.65%65.34%
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 35.72%
    Dungannon Swifts 36.8%
    Draw 27.46%
Carrick RangersDrawDungannon Swifts
1-0 @ 10.6%
2-1 @ 7.82%
2-0 @ 6.38%
3-1 @ 3.14%
3-0 @ 2.56%
3-2 @ 1.92%
4-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 35.72%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 8.82%
2-2 @ 4.79%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.46%
0-1 @ 10.8%
1-2 @ 7.96%
0-2 @ 6.62%
1-3 @ 3.25%
0-3 @ 2.7%
2-3 @ 1.96%
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 36.8%

Head to Head
Aug 23, 2025 3pm
Feb 15, 2025 3pm
gameweek 29
Dungannon
3-1
Carrick
Mitchell (9'), Alves (22'), Glenny (28')
Heatley (58')
Nov 23, 2024 3pm
gameweek 18
Carrick
0-1
Dungannon

McGuckin (29'), Cherry (55')
Knowles (76')
Knowles (31'), Scott (39'), McGinty (90+2')
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
gameweek 10
Dungannon
4-0
Carrick
McGovern (33'), Dillon (38'), Mitchell (70'), Boyd (90')

Forsythe (16')
Crowe (39')
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
gameweek 1
Dungannon
3-2
Carrick
Galvin (13'), Dillon (17', 22')
Maguire (90+1'), Dunne (90+6')
Cherry (52'), Purkis (62')
Stewart (84')