Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 36.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Dungannon Swifts in this match.