NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 18
Nov 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Carrick
0 - 1
Dungannon


McGuckin (29'), Cherry (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Knowles (76')
Knowles (31'), Scott (39'), McGinty (90+2')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Dungannon Swifts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
Last Game: Carrick 3-0 Crusaders
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Dungannon Swifts

All competitions
Last Game: Dungannon 2-0 Glenavon
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 36.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Dungannon Swifts in this match.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawDungannon Swifts
36.57% (0.018000000000001 0.02)25.59% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)37.83% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.63% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.62% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)48.38% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)70.52% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.24% (0.012 0.01)25.76% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.3% (0.019999999999996 0.02)60.7% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.94% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)25.06% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.26% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)59.74% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 36.57%
    Dungannon Swifts 37.83%
    Draw 25.59%
Carrick RangersDrawDungannon Swifts
1-0 @ 8.76%
2-1 @ 8.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 36.57%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.69% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 8.93% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.18% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.85% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.62%
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
2-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 37.83%

Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 10
Dungannon
4-0
Carrick
McGovern (33'), Dillon (38'), Mitchell (70'), Boyd (90')

Forsythe (16')
Crowe (39')
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 1
Dungannon
3-2
Carrick
Galvin (13'), Dillon (17', 22')
Maguire (90+1'), Dunne (90+6')
Cherry (52'), Purkis (62')
Stewart (84')
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 29
Carrick
2-1
Dungannon
Purkis (45+4'), Cushley (61' pen.)
Cushley (44'), Cherry (63')
Forsythe (82')
Bigirimana (70')
Hegarty (45+1'), Scott (47'), Dunne (60'), Taggart (85')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Dungannon
2-3
Carrick
Curry (14'), Marron (82')
Galvin (33'), Owens (51'), Marron (73')
Allen (51' pen.), Macuilaitis (60', 66')
Glendinning (33'), Cushley (34'), Forsythe (57'), Macuilaitis (90+3')
Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Carrick
2-1
Dungannon
Marron (16' og.), Cushley (90' pen.)
Cushley (28'), Crowe (63')
Moore (32')
Glenny (10'), Lusty (78'), Devine (89')