Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.