Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 50.53%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 24.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.