NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 6
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Carrick
0 - 1
Portadown

FT(HT: 0-0)
Fyfe (70')
Thompson (44'), Mackinnon (81'), McCartan (88'), Mayse (90+3')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Portadown.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portadown 2-2 Linfield
Friday, August 30 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Portadown win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawPortadown
40.94% (-0.293 -0.29)25.11% (-0.107 -0.11)33.96% (0.399 0.4)
Both teams to score 56.93% (0.47799999999999 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.46% (0.571 0.57)46.54% (-0.57100000000001 -0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.19% (0.534 0.53)68.81% (-0.535 -0.53)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.37% (0.107 0.11)22.63% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.74% (0.157 0.16)56.26% (-0.15799999999999 -0.16)
Portadown Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.59% (0.515 0.52)26.41% (-0.516 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.42% (0.682 0.68)61.58% (-0.683 -0.68)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 40.94%
    Portadown 33.96%
    Draw 25.1%
Carrick RangersDrawPortadown
1-0 @ 8.88% (-0.187 -0.19)
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.6% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.35%
3-0 @ 3.27% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.21% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 40.94%
1-1 @ 11.82% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.98% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.067 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.1%
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
1-2 @ 7.87% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.3% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.49% (0.079 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.6% (0.067 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.35% (0.046 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 33.96%

Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 3
Portadown
3-1
Carrick
Friel (14', 86'), Archer (32')
Tilney (59')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Portadown
1-3
Carrick
Russell (24')
McGuckin (13'), Macuilaitis (54', 72')
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Carrick
2-0
Portadown
Anderson (60'), Stewart (81')
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Carrick
2-0
Portadown
Stewart (45+1'), McGuckin (55')
Apr 30, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Portadown
0-5
Carrick

(68')
Carson (19', 34'), Cushley (44'), Gibson (57'), Glendinning (76')
Forsythe (26'), Chambers (58')