Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Portadown win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.