Aug 31, 2024 3.00pm

2

1

HT : 0 1

FT Seaview

Ben Buchanan-Rolleston 26'
Reece Glendinning 45'+2'
Daniel Larmour 64'
Kieran Offord 65'
Harry Jewitt-White 81'

Curtis Allen 7'
Cameron Stewart 49'
Paul Heatley 77'
Cameron Stewart 78'
Paul Heatley 90'+6'

Crusaders vs Carrick Rangers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

All competitions

D
W
W
W
W
W

NIFL Premiership

D
W
W
W
W
L

Last game

Aug 24, 2024 3.00pm

Crusaders 1 - 1 Cliftonville

Goals scored

47

Top scorer

Kieran Offord

Carrick Rangers

All competitions

L
L
W
D
D
D

NIFL Premiership

L
L
W
L
W
W

Last game

Aug 23, 2024 7.45pm

Carrick 2 - 3 Glentoran

Goals scored

32

Top scorer

Dan Purkis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 52.1%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Crusaders in this match.

Result

Crusaders 52.1% ▲ (+0.50)

Draw 23.41% ▲ (+0.11)

Carrick Rangers 24.49% ▼ (-0.60)

Both Teams to Score:

56.4% ▼ (-1.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.59% ▼ (-1.03)

Under 2.5 44.41% ▲ (+1.03)

Over 3.5 33.22% ▼ (-1.01)

Under 3.5 66.78% ▲ (+1.01)

Over 4.5 16.95% ▼ (-0.74)

Under 4.5 83.05% ▲ (+0.74)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5 82.94% ▼ (-0.21)

Under 0.5 17.06% ▲ (+0.20)

Over 1.5 52.77% ▼ (-0.36)

Under 1.5 47.23% ▲ (+0.36)

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 0.5 68% ▼ (-1.05)

Under 0.5 32% ▲ (+1.05)

Over 1.5 31.54% ▼ (-1.21)

Under 1.5 68.46% ▲ (+1.21)

Score analysis

Crusaders 52.1%

Draw 23.41%

Carrick Rangers 24.49%

Crusaders

2-1 @ 9.73% ▲ (+0.03)

1-0 @ 9.65% ▲ (+0.37)

2-0 @ 8.54% ▲ (+0.27)

3-1 @ 5.73% ▼ (-0.03)

3-0 @ 5.03% ▲ (+0.13)

3-2 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.11)

4-1 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.03)

4-0 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.05)

4-2 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.06)

Other @ 3.95%

Total : 52.1%

Draw

1-1 @ 11% ▲ (+0.11)

2-2 @ 5.54% ▼ (-0.15)

0-0 @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.24)

3-3 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.08)

Other @ 0.17%

Total : 23.41%

Carrick Rangers

1-2 @ 6.27% ▼ (-0.13)

0-1 @ 6.22% ▲ (+0.10)

0-2 @ 3.54% ▼ (-0.05)

1-3 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.12)

2-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.12)

0-3 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.06)

Other @ 2.62%

Total : 24.49%

Head to Head

May 1, 2024 7.45pm

3

1

HT : 2 1

FT Seaview

Adam Lecky 7'
Stewart Nixon 45'+1'
Adam Lecky 54'
Adam Lecky 76'

David Cushley 9'
Dan Purkis 45'+3'
Albert Watson 56'

Dec 30, 2023 3.00pm

2

0

HT : 0 0

FT Seaview

Ross Clarke 45'
Paul Heatley 49'
Jordan Owens 65'

Kurtis Forsythe 42'
Kurtis Forsythe 60'
Andy Mitchell 62'

Dec 8, 2023 7.45pm

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Emmett McGuckin 76'
Nedas Macuilaitis 81'
Reece Glendinning 89'

Philip Lowry 45'
Josh Robinson 58'
Paul Heatley 87'
Billy Joe Burns 89'
Daniel Larmour 90'

Aug 22, 2023 7.45pm

9

0

HT : 5 0

FT Seaview

Paul Heatley 11'
Ben Kennedy 21'
Ben Kennedy 25'
Ben Kennedy 28'
Ben Kennedy 40'
Philip Lowry 47'
Billy Joe Burns 54'
Jimmy Callacher 63'
Ross Clarke 74'
James Teelan 79'

Kyle Cherry 24'
Joe Crowe 68'
Joshua Andrews 86'

Mar 25, 2023 3.00pm

3

0

HT : 0 0

FT Seaview

Ross Clarke 66'
Jordan Owens 80'
Declan Caddell 87'

Jan 2, 2023 3.00pm

0

3

HT : 0 2

FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Paul Heatley 10'
Jordan Forsythe 43'
Jordan Forsythe 50'

Form Data

Crusaders 1 - 1 Cliftonville

Ballymena 0 - 1 Crusaders

Glentoran 0 - 1 Crusaders

Ballyclare Comrades 2 - 6 Crusaders

Crusaders 3 - 0 Newington Youth

Crumlin United 0 - 4 Crusaders

Carrick 2 - 3 Glentoran

Loughgall 3 - 0 Carrick

Carrick 2 - 0 Glenavon

Carrick 0 - 0 Dundee

Carrick 0 - 0 Dundela

Carrick 0 - 0 Newington Youth