Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 43.08%. A win for Glentoran had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Glentoran win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.