Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Glentoran had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Glentoran win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.