/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F29%2Flarlog.png)
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Lee Bonis
12'
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Lee Bonis
15'
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Andy Ryan
17'
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Lee Bonis
23'
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Andy Ryan
25'
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Sean Graham
31'
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Sean Graham
42'
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Jaziel Orozco
68'
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Lee Bonis
78'
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Mark Byrne
10'
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Len O'Sullivan
39'
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Peter Campbell
72'
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Jack Malone
85'
Larne vs Glenavon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 83.55%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 5.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 4-0 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-2 (1.8%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
Result
Larne
83.55%
▲
(+0.10)
Draw
10.79%
▼
(-0.07)
Glenavon
5.65%
▼
(-0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
48.9%
▼
(-0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
72.92%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 2.5
27.08%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 3.5
52.41%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 3.5
47.58%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 4.5
32.99%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 4.5
67.01%
▼
(-0.15)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5
95.35%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
4.64%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 1.5
81.09%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 1.5
18.9%
▼
(-0.12)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5
51.28%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
48.72%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
16.24%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
83.75%
▲
(+0.03)
Score analysis
Larne
83.54%
Draw
10.79%
Glenavon
5.65%
Larne
3-0
@
10.9%
2-0 @ 10.66% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 8.37% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 7.84% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.67% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 6.95% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 6.02% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.01)
6-0 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.02)
5-2 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.01)
7-0 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 83.54%
2-0 @ 10.66% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 8.37% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 7.84% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.67% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 6.95% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 6.02% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.01)
6-0 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.02)
5-2 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.01)
7-0 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 83.54%
Draw
1-1
@
5%
▼
(-0.03)
2-2 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 10.79%
2-2 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 10.79%
Glenavon
1-2
@
1.8%
▼
(-0.02)
0-1 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 5.65%
0-1 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 5.65%