NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 31

Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK

Mourneview Park

Glenavon
4 - 0
Dungannon

Lotefa (6', 14', 63'), Snoddy (65')
Byrne (82')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Scott (25')
Bigirimana (71')

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Dungannon Swifts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Glenavon

All competitions

Last Game: Glenavon 0-0 Glentoran
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Dungannon Swifts

All competitions

Last Game: Dungannon 3-1 Cliftonville
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 36.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.04%) and 0-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Glenavon	Draw	Dungannon Swifts
36.91% ( 0.11)	23.79% ( 0.03)	39.3% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 62.26% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.16% (

-0.12)

39.83% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.81% (

-0.13)

62.19% (

0.13)

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.32%

21.68% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.18% (

-0)

54.82% (

Dungannon Swifts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.49% (

-0.12)

20.51% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.99% (

-0.19)

53% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Glenavon 36.91%

Dungannon Swifts 39.3%

Draw 23.78%

Glenavon	Draw	Dungannon Swifts
2-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 36.91%	1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.78%	1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.5% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.94% Total : 39.3%