NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 1
Apr 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Mourneview Park

Glenavon
1 - 1
Dungannon

Fitzpatrick (8')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Smith (81')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Dungannon Swifts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Glenavon

All competitions
Last Game: Ballymena 0-1 Glenavon
Monday, April 3 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Dungannon Swifts

All competitions
Last Game: Dungannon 0-5 Linfield
Friday, March 24 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 50.6%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 25.44% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 0-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
GlenavonDrawDungannon Swifts
50.6% (-0.277 -0.28)23.97% (0.137 0.14)25.44% (0.14 0.14)
Both teams to score 55.56% (-0.313 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.01% (-0.479 -0.48)45.99% (0.479 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.7% (-0.456 -0.46)68.29% (0.456 0.46)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.78% (-0.289 -0.29)18.22% (0.289 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.76% (-0.496 -0.5)49.24% (0.496 0.5)
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.94% (-0.142 -0.14)32.06% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.47% (-0.165 -0.16)68.53% (0.164 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Glenavon 50.6%
    Dungannon Swifts 25.44%
    Draw 23.96%
GlenavonDrawDungannon Swifts
1-0 @ 9.95% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.47% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.47% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.81% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.33% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.05% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 50.6%
1-1 @ 11.31% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.84% (0.118 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.96%
0-1 @ 6.64% (0.109 0.11)
1-2 @ 6.43% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.78% (0.047 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.43% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 25.44%

Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Dungannon
2-1
Glenavon
Animasahun (36'), O'Connor (63')
McCready (71')
O'Connor (72')
Prendergast (25')
Fitzpatrick (55'), Birney (71'), Baird (75'), Wallace (90+4')
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Dungannon
1-0
Glenavon
Campbell (70')
Knowles (17')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Glenavon
5-0
Dungannon
McCloskey (50'), Bradley (54'), Baird (61'), Fitzpatrick (67'), Prendergast (82')
Wallace (20')
Apr 16, 2022 3pm
Dungannon
3-2
Glenavon
Convie (1'), Knowles (17' pen.), Snoddy (83' og.)
Coyle (41'), Friel (53'), Glynn (90+2')
Breen (31' og.), McCloskey (34')
Snoddy (58')
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Glenavon
3-1
Dungannon
Campbell (58'), Haughey (63'), McCloskey (88')
Campbell (43')
Coyle (33'), Knowles (58'), McKendry (63')