Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 67.35%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 13.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Glenavon win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.