Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 57.78%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 19.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.4%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.