Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portadown win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portadown win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.