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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 24
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Shamrock Park

Portadown
1 - 3
Carrick

Russell (24')
Wilson (64')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McGuckin (13'), Macuilaitis (54', 72')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Portadown and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portadown 3-1 Dungannon
Friday, February 24 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 2-3 Larne
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portadown win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portadown win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
PortadownDrawCarrick Rangers
40.93% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 26.05% (0.0040000000000013 0) 33.02% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.13% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)50.87% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.25% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)72.75% (0.012 0.01)
Portadown Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.45% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)24.55% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.97% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)59.03% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.9% (0.0010000000000048 0)29.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.97%65.03% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Portadown 40.92%
    Carrick Rangers 33.02%
    Draw 26.05%
PortadownDrawCarrick Rangers
1-0 @ 10.03%
2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 7.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.3% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 40.92%
1-1 @ 12.38%
0-0 @ 7.15% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.05%
0-1 @ 8.82% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.44% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-3 @ 3.15%
0-3 @ 2.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.21%
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 33.02%

Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Carrick
2-0
Portadown
Anderson (60'), Stewart (81')

Archer (74')
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Carrick
2-0
Portadown
Stewart (45+1'), McGuckin (55')

McNally (10')
Apr 30, 2022 5.30pm
Portadown
0-5
Carrick

(68')
Carson (19', 34'), Cushley (44'), Gibson (57'), Glendinning (76')
Forsythe (26'), Chambers (58')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Carrick
2-2
Portadown
Gordon (64'), Glendinning (71')
Cushley (67'), Cherry (75')
Gibson (51')
Ruddy (19'), Salley (41')
Salley (42'), Beverland (52')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Portadown
2-2
Carrick
Ruddy (11'), Conaty (34')
Anderson (71'), Gibson (90+1')
Cherry (38'), Cushley (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield18122435161938
2CliftonvilleCliftonville1894527171031
3GlentoranGlentoran209472419531
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon199372623330
5PortadownPortadown188462519628
6CrusadersCrusaders188372323027
7Ballymena UnitedBallymena189092222027
8ColeraineColeraine197573227526
9LarneLarne146441612422
10Carrick RangersCarrick1853102030-1018
11GlenavonGlenavon193791428-1416
12Loughgall1933132048-2812


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