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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 25
Jan 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Showgrounds

Coleraine
1 - 0
Carrick

Shevlin (70' pen.)
Glackin (55'), Gallagher (90+2'), Gallagher (90+2')
Glackin (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)

McGuckin (34'), Ervin (74')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Coleraine and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cliftonville 2-2 Coleraine
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 3-3 Cliftonville
Friday, January 13 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 78.04%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 7.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.15%) and 1-0 (10.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.87%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (2.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.

Result
ColeraineDrawCarrick Rangers
78.04% (-0.455 -0.45) 14.44% (0.211 0.21) 7.52% (0.25 0.25)
Both teams to score 44.25% (0.546 0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.66% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)38.34% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.38% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)60.62% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Coleraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.02% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)7.98% (0.1051 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.84% (-0.262 -0.26)28.16% (0.266 0.27)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.09% (0.648 0.65)51.91% (-0.64400000000001 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.05% (0.42 0.42)85.95% (-0.416 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Coleraine 78.03%
    Carrick Rangers 7.52%
    Draw 14.44%
ColeraineDrawCarrick Rangers
2-0 @ 13.24% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-0 @ 11.15% (-0.17 -0.17)
1-0 @ 10.47% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.68% (0.081999999999999 0.08)
3-1 @ 7.32% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
4-0 @ 7.05% (-0.142 -0.14)
4-1 @ 4.62% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
5-0 @ 3.57% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.055 0.06)
5-1 @ 2.34% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.027 0.03)
6-0 @ 1.5% (-0.046 -0.05)
6-1 @ 0.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 78.03%
1-1 @ 6.87% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 4.14% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 2.85% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 14.44%
0-1 @ 2.72% (0.054 0.05)
1-2 @ 2.25% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 7.52%

How you voted: Coleraine vs Carrick

Coleraine
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Carrick Rangers
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Aug 23, 2022 7.45pm
Carrick
2-4
Coleraine
Cushley (45+1' pen.)
(44'), (68')
Shevlin (18', 40', 54'), Glackin (87')
Jarvis (48'), Mullan (65'), Gallagher (90+2')
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Coleraine
3-0
Carrick
Brown (26'), O'Donnell (38' og.), Kane (54' pen.)
Kane (15')

(25'), Surgenor (33'), Skeet (53')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Carrick
0-0
Coleraine

Anderson (73')

Carson (71')
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Carrick
0-3
Coleraine

Ervin (31')
McKendry (12'), Shevlin (48', 73')
Traynor (38')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield19132438162241
2Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2010372723433
3CliftonvilleCliftonville199462719831
4PortadownPortadown199462719831
5GlentoranGlentoran209472419531
6CrusadersCrusaders188372323027
7Ballymena UnitedBallymena1990102223-127
8ColeraineColeraine207583230226
9LarneLarne146441612422
10Carrick RangersCarrick1954102030-1019
11GlenavonGlenavon193791428-1416
12Loughgall2034132048-2813


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