Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 47.76%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 1-0 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.