Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newry City AFC win with a probability of 62.44%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 17.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newry City AFC win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Portadown win it was 1-2 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.